In a report released earlier this month, Barclays took a look at the January Effect–that is, the outperformance by the years worst performers–and found it to be more than a myth.
REUTERSBarclays’ Eric Slover and Barry Knapp explain:
We find the anomaly in which smaller cap, prior year underperformers and value outperform in January has persisted, but profiting from this strategy is impaired by liquidity and transaction costs. Nevertheless, a market cap constrained portfolio backtest, supplemented with a value factor, has provided average excess returns of 240bps over the last ten years.
Yes, we all hate back tests, but that’s how we look at what’s worked in the past, even if there’s no guarantee it will work in the future.
Knapp and Slover were also kind enough to provide a screen of stocks that could outperform. They started with the Russell 2000, removed the smallest 40% based on market cap (the aforementioned liquidity issues), then selected the 5% worst performers from among the 30% cheapest stocks based on book-to-price. The result is a bunch of names you never heard of, including Infinity Pharmaceuticals (INFI), Fusion-IO (FIO), Walter Energy (WLT), Hecla Mining (HL) and Molycorp�(MCP).
Hot Consumer Companies To Buy Right Now: George Risk Industries Inc (RSKIA)
George Risk Industries, Inc. (GRI), incorporated on February 21, 1961, is engaged in the design, manufacture and sale of computer keyboards, push button switches, burglar alarm components and systems, pool alarms, thermostats, EZ Duct wire covers and water sensors. GRI is a diversified manufacturer of electronic components, consisting of the security industries variety of door and window contact switches, environmental products, proximity switches and custom keyboards. The Company operates in two segments: security alarm products and security alarm products GRI�� security burglar alarm products comprise approximately 84% of net revenues and are sold through distributors and alarm dealers/installers. These products are used for residential, commercial, industrial and government installations. Its products include security products/ magnetic reed switches, data entry peripherals, pushbutton switches, custom engraved keycaps and proximity sensors.
The security segment has approximately 3,000 customers. One of the distributors, ADI accounts for approximately 40% of the Company's sales of these products. The keyboard segment has approximately 800 customers. Keyboard products are sold to original equipment manufacturers to their specifications and to distributors of off-the-shelf keyboards of proprietary design. GRI owns and operates its main manufacturing plant and offices in Kimball, Nebraska with a satellite plant 40 miles away in Gering, Nebraska.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By Geoff Gannon]
So, I think of simple industries as food, entertainment, etc. And anything where logistics provide a competitive advantage. I mentioned a company I own shares of ��George Risk Industries (RSKIA) ��before. Its advantage is the ability to deliver a cheap product on time. They can't produce the product for less than the competition. If the purchase price was huge relative to what the end customer was purchasing as part of the same activity (the end customer is construction in this case) price competition would be important. Instead, delivery is important.
- [By Geoff Gannon] >Ark Restaurants (ARKR). When I bought them - and even now - I think their return on buyback would be high and I'd be in favor of it. However, the stocks are illiquid and their free cash flow relative to the dollar value of freely traded shares is not high. As a result, I'm always in favor of RSKIA and ARKR buying back stock. But, I understand it's very hard for them to do in practice unless there is a meaningful holder who signals he wants out of the stock.
My approach to buybacks is pretty simple. One, I prefer them. Two, I look at the share count history over the last 10 to 20 years as my guide to what the company might do in the future - I want a pattern of predictable behavior. Generally, that means a continuously shrinking share count that shrinks in bull markets and bear markets, panics and recessions and booms and busts and so on. Three, if I'm a buyer of the stock - then the company should be a buyer of its own stock. No questions asked on that one. If the stock is good enough for me to buy it's clearly good enough for the company to buy. Finally, I look for the return on buyback. I tend to focus on the earning power the company is buying relative to the net cash it is spending. If a company has cash on its balance sheet, the amount of net cash consumed by a buyback will be less than it appears because I will end up with a greater percentage ownership of the resulting balance sheet as well as the income statement.
I want the return on buyback to always be at least 10%. As a rule, the average company will only get returns on its buybacks of 10% or higher if it pays less than 15 times normal earnings. In special cases - fast growing companies, companies where free cash flow vastly exceeds reported income, etc. - it is possible that buybacks above 15 times earnings will return more than 10%. It almost never makes sense for a company to buy back stock at over 25 times earnings. So, for most companies, under 15 times earnings is the green zone for bu
- [By Geoff Gannon] ombination of not really cheap on a P/E basis and just barely cheap on a cash basis ��and it was connected to homebuilding.
I could go on like that. But I�� not sure I understand why knowing anything about the perceptions of others actually helps my own investment decisions. I�� also not sure the reasons I��e offered for the cheapness of those stocks are actually the reasons anybody else had for selling the stock, not buying it, etc. In fact, I think those are just plausible reasons I made up.
But that�� not the problem with wanting to know why a stock is cheap. The problem is how that knowledge ��or the quest for it ��directs your attention. And attention is the scarcest resource an investor has.
Once you know what somebody else�� perception is, you try to either prove or disprove that perception. In essence, I see the problem of thinking about market sentiment ��of worrying about the Keynesian beauty contest ��as being like one of those optical illusions. Like the duck-rabbit illusion. In fact, this concern of mine is one of the reasons why I��e suggested investors read Kuhn.
They often talk about some past period ��like the 1920s or 1950s ��with a total misunderstanding of what people were looking for in a stock back then. Of how they thought about stocks. Of what they thought stocks were. This isn�� a misanalysis of the facts. It�� a misclassification.
When Ben Graham started on Wall Street there was none of this ��tocks for the Long Run��stuff. There was no talk of asset classes. There were investments called bonds. And there were speculations called stocks. And it was heresy when Ben Graham basically said a cheap stock is a better investment than an expensive bond.
You become a bad financial historian when you confuse your own perceptions ��your own way of classifying stocks and noting the aspects of a stock ��with how people really thought about stocks back then.
In the same wa
Top Cheapest Companies To Invest In 2014: China Mobile Games and Entertainment Group Ltd (CMGE)
China Mobile Games and Entertainment Group Limited, incorporated on January 20, 2011, is a holding company. The Company is engaged in the development, operation and sale of feature phone and smartphone games, as well as the provision of handset design products and services. The Company operates in three segments: feature phone games, smartphone games and handset design. As of December 31, 2011, it was a subsidiary of VODone Limited.
CMGEconducts its primary business operations through its subsidiaries and a variable interest entity (VIE). Kangri Yingxiong Zhuan is a single-player smartphone game, which was launched during the year ended December 31, 2011.Paopao Xiyou, YY Three Kingdoms, Thumb Monopoly and Creation Song are its smartphone mobile social games. Xiao'ao Jianghu is its internally-developed feature phone mobile social game. The Company has a diversified portfolio of games for feature phones and smartphones. As of March 31, 2012, the Company�� portfolio included 450 mobile games, of which 130 of its 136 feature phone games were developed in-house; it licensed 302 of its 314 smartphone games from third parties and it developed its smartphone mobile social games in-house.
On February 14, 2012, the Company established four wholly owned subsidiaries, which included HYD Holding Limited, OWX Group Limited, OWX Development Limited and 3GUU Holding Limited. On March 23, 2012, CMGE transferred all of the interests in Beauty Wave Limited (Beauty Wave) and China Wave Group Limited (China Wave) to HYD Holding Limited; transferred all of the interests in OWX Hong Kong Limited (OWX HK) to OWX Development Limited, and transferred all of the interest in 3GUU Mobile Entertainment Industrial Co. Ltd. (3GUU BVI) to 3GUU Holding Limited.
The Company generates feature phone games revenues principally from the sale of in-game features of mobile phone games on feature phones. The Company generates smartphone game revenues from the sale of in-game premium features of mobile ! social games that it develops in-house, as well as from the sale of single-player games on smartphones that it develops in-house and license or acquire. CMGE operates mobile social games and single-player games under a free-to-play model and a subscription-based model, respectively. The Company contracts with third-party payment platforms for billing, collection and transmission services offered to mobile phone game players who have purchased game points. It also contracts with mobile application and software Websites to distribute its mobile social games by providing platforms for mobile phone game players to download such games.
CMGE generates handset design revenues from the provision of handset design solutions to mobile phone manufacturers and mobile phone content providers. Handset design solutions include operating system software and hardware design with one-year post-contract customer support (PCS) service; printed circuit board with operating system software and optional assembly service, and mobile phone contents installation service. Operating system software and hardware designs with PCS services are provided to mobile phone manufacturers for either a fixed fee or a variable fee based on the units of production by the mobile phone manufacturers at a prescribed unit price. Printed circuit boards with operating system software are sold to mobile phone manufacturers for a fixed unit price. Mobile phone contents installation services are rendered to mobile phone content providers for a prescribed percentage of the mobile phone content providers' net profits.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By Monica Gerson]
China Mobile Games and Entertainment Group (NASDAQ: CMGE) is projected to report its Q2 earnings at $0.21 per share on revenue of $43.60 million.
Rediff.com India (NASDAQ: REDF) is estimated to report its Q1 earnings.
- [By Laura Brodbeck]
Monday
Earnings Releases Expected: Urban Outfitters (NASDAQ: URBN), China Mobile Games & Entertainment (NASDAQ: CMGE) Economic Releases Expected: Hong Kong unemployment rate, New Zealand’s PPITuesday
Top Cheapest Companies To Invest In 2014: Charles River Laboratories International Inc. (CRL)
Charles River Laboratories International, Inc. provides research models and laboratory animal support expertise to help its global partners advance their research and drug development efforts. The company offers a portfolio of services to support discovery and imaging, preclinical and early-phase clinical studies, and biopharmaceutical and endotoxin products and services for manufacturing and quality control. Its portfolio spans the entire research and drug development process, from IND consultation to discovery through market approval, allowing customized approaches to support both single-study or broad-based programs. Charles River Laboratories International serves pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies, as well as government agencies, hospitals, and academic institutions. The company was founded in 1947 and is headquartered in Wilmington, Massachusetts.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By MONEYMORNING.COM]
Then there's Charles River Laboratories (NYSE: CRL). The company provides outsourcing for clinical research, allowing drug firms to keep their overhead down and pass the savings on to patients and their insurers.
- [By Damian Illia]
Based in Valencia, Calif., and founded in 1991, MannKind Corporation (MNKD) is a development stage biopharmaceutical company. It is engaged in the discovery, development and commercialization of therapeutic products for diseases like diabetes. The company's lead and only late stage pipeline candidate for this year is Afrezza, an inhalation powder which is an ultra insulin therapy for the treatment of adults with type 1 or type 2 diabetes to control their hyperglycemia. Currently, it is in late-stage clinical trials and a final decision from the U.S. regulatory body is expected by April 15, 2014. There is great concern revolving around this decision, as MannKind has already received two complete response letters (CRL) for Afrezza from the FDA, and it was requested to conduct two phase III trials with the next-generation inhaler. Further delay in approval or another setback related to this candidate could be a great danger for the company. Over and probably excessive dependence on Afrezza ���s the company discontinued any other reasearch in other candidates ���s something to worry about. The company has generated no revenue last year round and its shares have experienced a total annual loss of $0.64 so far.
Top Cheapest Companies To Invest In 2014: Hauppauge Digital Inc.(HAUP)
Hauppauge Digital Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and marketing of analog and digital TV tuner products for the personal computer (PC) market in the Americas, Europe, and Asia. It offers video recorder products, such as USB-Live2, a standard definition video recorder used to record video tapes and other types of video into a PC; HD PVR, a high-definition video recorder for making real-time H.264 compressed video recordings at resolutions up to 1080i, and to record old home video tapes into an AVCHD format; and Colossus to record high definition video from a cable TV or satellite set top box, or an Xbox 360 or Sony playstation 3 game console. The company also provides TV receivers, including Broadway that connects to a TV signal and then transmits that TV signal through a Wi-Fi network or the Internet; analog TV tuners to enable a PC user to watch analog cable TV in a resizable window; digital TV receivers and hybrid analog/digital TV receivers, which allow a PC user to watch digital television in a resizable window on a PC or laptop screen; and PCTV TV tuner products that allow users to view television programming on their computers. In addition, it offers non-TV tuner products comprising WinTV application, a PC-based TV watching, pause, and recoding application; WinTV Extend software product, a PC-based Internet video server that streams live TV or other video content to remote devices; Impact video capture board for PC-based video conferencing and video capture in industrial applications; MediaMVP-HD, a Linux-based digital media device that links TV sets and PCs; and MediaMVP to watch and listen to PC-based videos, music, and pictures on a TV set through a home network, as well as provides an on-TV-screen display of media directory listings. The company sells its products through retailers, PC manufacturers, and distributors. Hauppauge Digital Inc. was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Hauppauge, New York.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By Monica Gerson]
Hauppauge Digital (NASDAQ: HAUP) shares fell 8.70% to touch a new 52-week low of $0.42. Hauppauge Digital shares have dropped 61.02% over the past 52 weeks, while the S&P 500 index has gained 18.17% in the same period.
Top Cheapest Companies To Invest In 2014: Carter's Inc.(CRI)
Carter's, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, sources, and markets branded children?s wear. The company provides products under the Carter?s, Child of Mine, Just One You, Precious Firsts, OshKosh, and related brand names. Its Carter?s brand baby products include bodysuits, pants, undershirts, towels, washcloths, receiving blankets, layette gowns, bibs, caps, and booties; playclothes products consist of knit and woven cotton apparel; sleepwear products comprise pajamas and blanket sleepers; and other products consist of bedding, outerwear, swimwear, shoes, socks, diaper bags, gift sets, toys, and hair accessories. The company also provides playclothes products, including denim apparel products, overalls, woven bottoms, knit tops, and playclothes products for sizes newborn to 12 under the OshKosh brand. In addition, it offers baby, sleepwear, outerwear, shoes, hosiery, and accessories under the OshKosh brand. The company sells its products in department stores, national chains, and specialty retailers, as well as through its Carter?s and OshKosh retail stores; and online at carters.com and oshkoshbgosh.com. As of December 31, 2011, it operated 359 Carter?s and 170 OshKosh outlet and brand retail stores in the United States; and 65 retail stores in Canada. The company was founded in 1865 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By Vera Yuan]
In consumer discretionary, Carter�� Inc. (CRI) had double digit gains after posting strong second quarter results and raising its 2014 guidance. The company is benefitting from falling cotton prices due to bumper U.S. harvests and increased demand for apparel, resulting in healthy same store sales and new store openings.From Bernard Horn (Trades, Portfolio)�� Polaris Global Value Fund Q3 2014 Shareholder Letter.Also check out: Bernard Horn Undervalued Stocks Bernard Horn Top Growth Companies Bernard Horn High Yield stocks, and Stocks that Bernard Horn keeps buying Currently 0.00/512345
Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes)
Top Cheapest Companies To Invest In 2014: Fresh Start Private Management Inc (CEYY)
Fresh Start Private Management, Inc. (FSPM), incorporated on January 28, 2008, is an alcohol treatment and rehabilitation company. The Company has developed a patented treatment that delivers target therapeutic levels of Naltrexone that significantly reduce patients' cravings for alcohol.
The program is administered on an outpatient basis with patients need not missing more than a day of work and can receive treatment without co-workers or even family members being aware. The Company operates in the Unites States.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By Peter Graham]
Small cap stocks Fresh Start Private Management Inc (OTCMKTS: CEYY), 7 Star Entertainment Inc (OTCMKTS: SAEE) and Refill Energy, Inc (OTCMKTS: REFG) have been getting some attention lately in various investment newsletters thanks to paid promotions. Of course, there is nothing wrong with a properly disclosed promotional or investor relations campaign, but unwary investors or traders could find themselves in trouble if they are not careful. So do these three small caps have what it takes to remain hot? Here is a quick reality check before you invest or trade:
Fresh Start Private Management Inc (OTCMKTS: CEYY)is Expecting ��xponential Revenue Growth��Small cap Fresh Start Private Management is an alcohol treatment and rehabilitation company on the leading edge of alcohol addiction treatment. On Friday, Start Private Management rose 13.99% to $0.044 for a market cap of $5.19 million plus CEYY is down 92.7% since last March according to Google Finance.
Top Cheapest Companies To Invest In 2014: UniSource Energy Corporation(UNS)
UniSource Energy Corporation engages in the electric generation and energy delivery businesses. The company?s TEP segment generates, transmits, and distributes electricity to approximately 403,000 retail electric customers, including residential, commercial, industrial, and public sector customers in southeastern Arizona. It also sells electricity to other utilities and power marketing entities. As of December 31, 2010, this segment owned or leased 2,245 MW of net generating capacity, as well as owned or participated in electric transmission and distribution system consisting of 512 circuit-miles of 500-kV lines; 1,087 circuit-miles of 345-kV lines; 379 circuit-miles of 138-kV lines; 478 circuit-miles of 46-kV lines; and 2,621 circuit-miles of lower voltage primary lines. TEP segment generates electricity from coal, gas, oil, and solar sources. The company?s UNS Gas segment distributes gas to approximately 146,500 retail customers in Mohave, Yavapai, Coconino, and Navajo c ounties in northern Arizona, as well as Santa Cruz County in southeastern Arizona. As of December 31, 2010, this segment?s transmission and distribution system consisted of approximately 30 miles of steel transmission mains, 4,211 miles of steel and plastic distribution piping, and 136,439 customer service lines. The company?s UNS Electric segment transmits and distributes electricity to approximately 91,000 retail customers consisting of residential, commercial, and industrial customers in Mohave and Santa Cruz counties. As of December 31, 2010, UNS Electric?s transmission and distribution system consisted of approximately 56 circuit-miles of 115-kV transmission lines, 271 circuit-miles of 69-kV transmission lines, and 3,599 circuit-miles of underground and overhead distribution lines. This segment also owns the 65 MW Valencia plant, as well as 39 substations having an installed capacity of 1,788,050 kilovolt amperes. The company was founded in 1902 and is based in Tucson, Arizona.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By David Dittman]
And with its December 2013 offer to buy Arizona-based UNS Energy Corp (NYSE: UNS) for $2.5 billion in cash St. John’s, Newfoundland and Labrador-based Fortis Inc (TSX: FTS, OTC: FRTSF), making its second foray in the US in two years, signaled its interest in regulated utility assets in states with favorable population and economic trends as a means of driving its growth going forward.
No comments:
Post a Comment